empty
04.12.2024 12:42 PM
AUD/USD: Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

Today, after the release of weaker GDP data from Australia, the Australian dollar has attracted active selling. Additionally, growing expectations of an interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), supported by this data, make a recovery in the Australian dollar unlikely in the near term.

Furthermore, concerns over the fragile economic recovery in China, looming tariffs under US President-elect Donald Trump, and fears of a trade war are further limiting the growth of the Australian dollar. Traders must wait for signals about future rate cuts in Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech and key economic reports from the US to observe concrete market movements and make new trades.

From a technical perspective, weakness below the 0.6440-0.6435 level indicates a breakout from the short-term trading range held over the past two weeks. Moreover, oscillators on the daily chart remain firmly in negative territory and far from the oversold zone. This suggests that the path of least resistance for the AUD/USD pair is downward, supporting the prospects for further decline. The likelihood of spot prices weakening below the critical level of 0.6400 and retesting the yearly low at 0.6350-0.6345, which was last seen in August, is increasing.

Conversely, any significant recovery above the key psychological level at 0.6500 will face strong resistance, remaining capped in the supply zone around 0.6535. Sustained momentum beyond this point could trigger a short-covering rally, allowing the AUD/USD pair to return to the critical round number at 0.6600 as it approaches the convergence of the 200-day and 50-day simple moving averages (SMA). If these levels are decisively breached, the short-term trend may favor bullish sentiment.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Gold Knows the Path to Victory

Gold was not a market favorite following Donald Trump's victory in the November elections. In fact, it pulled back once the red wave became clear and the Republican's return

Marek Petkovich 10:55 2025-03-27 UTC+2

XAU/USD – Analysis and Forecast

Gold continues to hold its intraday gains, trading near the weekly high around the $3036 level. This is due to several factors, including uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policy

Irina Yanina 10:44 2025-03-27 UTC+2

Trump imposes new auto tariffs

The euro, the pound sterling, and other risk-sensitive assets tumbled yesterday following news that President Donald Trump had signed an executive order to impose a 25 percent tariff on imported

Jakub Novak 10:33 2025-03-27 UTC+2

EUR/USD. Analysis and Forecast

Today, the EUR/USD pair is gaining some positive traction, breaking a six-day losing streak. The bullish momentum is lifting spot prices toward the 1.0785 level, marking a new daily high

Irina Yanina 09:58 2025-03-27 UTC+2

Who Had Any Doubts? Trump Remains Committed to His Economic Course (GBP/USD May Fall, #SPX May Rise)

Despite the ongoing political maneuvering, U.S. President Donald Trump remains committed to his economic strategy. This approach aims to dismantle the long-standing global economic model in which the U.S. primarily

Pati Gani 09:21 2025-03-27 UTC+2

Market picks wrong favorite

The higher the climb, the harder the fall. The S&P 500 tumbled in response to Donald Trump's announcement of 25% tariffs on automobiles. There will be no exceptions, although countries

Marek Petkovich 08:13 2025-03-27 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on March 27? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

There are very few macroeconomic events scheduled for Thursday, and even fewer are deemed important. The only report that deserves attention is the third estimate of U.S

Paolo Greco 05:42 2025-03-27 UTC+2

GBP/USD Pair Overview – March 27: The British Pound Stalls

On Wednesday, the GBP/USD currency pair openly traded in a flat range. Volatility remains low, with no trending movements even within the day. In other words, the market is simply

Paolo Greco 03:06 2025-03-27 UTC+2

EUR/USD Pair Overview – March 27: Donald Trump Steps Back

On Wednesday, the EUR/USD currency pair continued trading with minimal volatility and a slight downward bias. Trading volumes were absent, which is unsurprising—there has been very little news this week

Paolo Greco 03:06 2025-03-27 UTC+2

GBP/USD. A Rough Patch for the Pound

The UK inflation report failed to support the pound—all components of the release came in below expectations. On the one hand, this report is unlikely to influence the outcome

Irina Manzenko 23:41 2025-03-26 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.